Lately, as golf season heats up, I’ve been thinking a lot about my strategy on the golf course. My irons are great right now. I have the shots to be shooting at least 10 strokes lower than I am. The challenge has been building a mental/strategic game to match my physical game.
My latest approach centers on corner bodegas. Bodegas don’t carry nearly as many products as regular supermarkets, and their product selection would be a rounding error amongst Amazon’s 480 million products. We all still shop at them though, because they carry the essentials. They compete by carrying the essentials consistently.
For the foreseeable future I am not going to be able to match the execution of creative shots achieved by players such as Phil Mickelson and Bubba Watson. I don’t have the time nor the talent. If I pare my shot selection down to the essentials, I think I can come much closer though.
That’s why I’ve decided on 15 shots that I’m going to master this summer. Whenever I practice, I’ll practice these 15 shots. Whenever I play, I’ll try to hit some variation of these 15 shots on every swing. If the strategy works, 99% of the time I’ll be hitting a shot that I’ve practiced and pre-qualified for the situation, with a goal in mind for each shot.
Here is the list of shots I’ve chosen, along with the tolerances (left-right) I think it’s feasible to achieve for each, and what I think they’re good for.
- 230-yard drive. Carries just about anything. Long enough to reach most par-4s in 2. Easy enough to be consistent. Margin-of-error of +- 20 yards L/R
- 215-yard hybrid. For long approach shots, limited drives. Margin-of-error of +- 10 yards L/R
- 190-yard 6-iron. Par-3s, Par-5 middle shots. Super-straight. Margin-of-error of +- 8 yards L/R
- 165-yard 8-iron. Par-3s, mid-range approach shots and layups. Margin-of-error of +- 8 yards L/R
- 140-yard Pitching Wedge: Soft, short approach shots. Short par-3s. Margin-of-error of +- 6 yards L/R
- 120-yard Gap wedge: Softer, higher approach shot. Margin-of-error of +- 4 yards L/R
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100-yard 56-degree: High, short-range approach shot. Margin-of-error of +- 4 yards L/R
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50-yard flop: Get over bunkers, small water hazards, and land downhill shots onto fast greens. Margin-of-error of +- 3 yards L/R
- 50-yard runner. Safely roll your ball to the cup. Play breaks and bounces. Get under trees. Margin-of-error of +- 3 yards L/R
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20-yard hop-n-stop: Mid-height chip. A little bit of height to land at your chosen spot, slow down, but less than a flop. Margin-of-error of +- 2.5 yards L/R
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10-yard flop: Stop chips near the flag with consistency. Margin-of-error of +- 2 yards L/R
- Basic (stock) bunker shot: Margin-of-error of < +- 4 yards L/R
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25-foot Lag putt: Get within 3 feet. Margin-of-error of < +- 1.5 yards L/R
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10-foot mid-range putt: Get within 3 feet. Margin-of-error of < +- 1.0 yards L/R
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3-footer: Hit all of these. Margin-of-error of < 0.10 yards L/R
The drive is much shorter than my maximum capability. On a good day, I can consistently put it out there 260. Driver consistency has always been a challenge for me though. If I can develop a driver swing that goes 230 in a consistently straight direction (as defined by my margin of error) I’d be perfectly happy.
Shots number 2-7 give me a wide array of second-shot options, as well as driving options for par threes. On shorter par-4s I see pairing #2 as a drive and #3 as an approach shot, or #1 as a drive and #6 as an approach shot. These options give me the flexibility to play anything from 445 to 240 in two shots, with a high probability of landing it on the green. Shots #3-5 also serve as consistent second shots on par-5s, allowing me to hit to a spot where I can use #5-7 to approach.
With the three included putts, the goal is to 2-putt 100% of the time. #13 is the putt I expect to see most often from approach shots #3-5 (themselves my most common approach shot). Practicing this provides me a practiced putt for confidently getting within range of #15. #14 ‘s goal is also to get within range of #15, but it is more likely to result from shots 7-10 (the short game). #15 will be my most practiced putt. I’m cheating a bit with 15, because it represents all putts from 3 feet and in, not one specific putt. It does represent a specific type of putt that I expect to see a lot though, and can feasibly practice well for.
Shots #8-12 represent my stock short-game shots for when I miss the green. Yes, these four shots cover just three distances, but they should provide me with just enough flexibility to consistently provide myself with #13 and #14 putts (and in the case of the short chip, #11, hopefully lots of #15 putts). One of the hardest shots in golf is the arbitrary-length chip, the 27-footers, the 52-footers, because I don’t specifically practice these lengths, so every time I approach one I need to devise a new way of playing it. Playing to a specific, well-practiced distance should yield better results, even if it isn’t a 100% accurate distance. Being 10-15 feet from the cup and putting 80% of the time is better than being 5 feet from the cup 30% of the time, but off the green another 30% of the time.
For now this is just an intellectual exercise. I haven’t had the range time to actually practice these shots or test them out. I do think that limiting oneself to 15 specific shots provides great opportunity though. It simplifies on-course decisionmaking (and decreases mental uncertainty – since you’ve played each shot dozens of times before). It provides simple guidance in practice, and in warming up. It’s just a theory, but I think it might work.
——— Some Theoretical holes:
Thinking through my home-course:
- A dogleg-right 522 yard par-5. #1. 230-yard drive. #3. 190-yard 6-iron. #7. 100-yard 56-degree wedge. This should leave us within range of a #14 or #15 putt for birdie.
- A straight 372 yard par-4. #2. 215-yard hybrid. #4. 165-yard 8-iron. This should leave us within range of a #14 or #15 putt for birdie.
- 201-yard par-3. Either #2 or #3 based on wind. It’s 201 to the center, but only 190-ish to the front, and maybe 220 to the back. Either shot should leave a #13 or #14 putt for birdie.
- 389-yard par-4, down 30 yards, then up 15. Call it essentially 370. The #2, #4 combo from hole 2 should work just as well. If the wind’s blowing, maybe 1-4 or 3-3 instead.
- 326-yard par-4, uphill 30 yards. #2 leaves about 140 (accounting for elevation). #5 should leave us putting.
I’ll stop there, but I think my point is evident: even 15 shots is highly versatile, and it’s much easier to prepare 15 good shots than 100, or 1000. Now, to actually play and put these into practice!
—– Addendums:
- Yeah, I know I didn’t invent the idea of “stock” shots, to be clear. This is just my own expansion of the idea to an all-encompassing course-management strategy.
- Open question: As distances change (as I get stronger or weaker) should the clubs change, or the shot length? I’m tempted to say the following for now: +- 10 yards, stick with the same club. The value of consistently practicing the same club will outweigh the benefit of switching. Once a club is 10 or 20 yards longer or shorter than its designated range, it’s time to consider a change.
- On the driver: If I only need 230-240 yards, do I even need a driver? This summer I was already planning to demo drivers, but now I’m also going to look for a 3-wood I can consistently hit 230-240 straight.
- Why 15 shots? It seemed like a reasonable number to practice/master in a summer and consistently keep in my head. Over a longer period I could see increasing it to 20, 25 if you’re really serious and good at memorization. More than that is overkill though. If I could add shots, I would probably add a longer driver with a larger margin of error for long holes with wide-open fairways, I would space out the mid-length approach shots more, and I would add another pitch shot and another putt.
- It’s not clear how specialty shots play into this yet (i.e through trees, fairway bunkers). This system should hopefully reduce the need for such shots, but I think that in most scenarios you can still use these 15 shots, with tiny adjustments. Fairway bunkers would just be stock shots played towards the back of one’s stance, with some allowance for the size of the bunker lip. From trees, the 50-yard runner (#9) and a slightly modified hybrid (#2) are good options.
- Potential App idea: If this system works, it would be super-simple to code up a little pocket caddy. I could enter in the length of the hole and receive a few possible game plans combining these shots to reach the target distance. It wouldn’t account for hazards or carries, but it would be a nifty little tool.